Abstract

Contradictions in various coal city aspects have become increasingly prominent, with many cities becoming locked in due to lack of overall planning and resource degradation, and sustainable development of coal cities has attracted widespread attention. However, many research challenges remain regarding breakthrough of coal city lock-in effect. This paper evaluated 43 typical Chinese coal city 2012–2016 lock-in breakthrough abilities considering economy, environment, and sustainable development capacity aspects. We then used the fixed effect model to analyze impact mechanisms for various influencing factors on lock-in breakthrough. We found there was no significant change in overall lock-in breakthrough capacity in recent years. Technological innovation and human resources played important roles in lock-in breakthrough, and higher secondary industry proportion implied poorer ability to lock in breakthroughs. Economic externality and government finance had no significantly affect. Therefore, the government should clarify coal city transformation goals, establish a typical city as a benchmark for others, accelerate alternative industry developments, increase talent introduction and personnel training, and insist that technological innovation solves urban development problems from the root.

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