Abstract
In order to fully implement the new development concept, bring into full play the potential of sports development, and maintain the resilience of China’s sports development. This paper studies the resilience evaluation and spatial correlation of Chinese sports development under the new development concept. First, we constructed Resilience Evaluation Indexes System for Sports Development in China based on the analysis of the resilience features of sports development and the DPSIR model, which is from the five aspects of “driving force – pressure – state – influence – response.” Second, used Coefficient of Variation and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) Method to measure the resilience level of sports development in 31 provinces in China from 2013 to 2017. Then, we introduced the obstacle degree model to identify the obstacle factors that hinder the resilience of Chinese sports development in different periods. Finally, we used the global and local Moran indexes to analyze the spatial correlation of China sports regional development. The results showed that: (1) overall, the development level of sports resilience in 31 provinces in China showed an upward trend from 2013 to 2017, while some provinces showed obvious fluctuations. (2) The obstacles to the development of sports resilience in China mainly include sports scientific research equipment, the number of national fitness monitoring stations, the number of national fitness centers, the full-time equivalent of (R&D) personnel, and the number of sports scientific research projects. The response subsystem is the main obstacle factor that affects the improvement of the resilience level of sports development in China. (3) There is a positive spatial autocorrelation between the resilience level of sports development and regional spatial distribution, and the correlation shows a weakening trend, and the internal difference is significant. Finally, we concluded that we must take the new development philosophy as the guiding principle. First, we should stick to innovation-driven development to fully upgrade the resilience of China’s sports development. Second, we should adhere to the principle of coordinated development to promote the overall and balanced development of sports. Lastly, we should promote shared development so as to deliver benefits for all in an equal way.
Highlights
With the development of economic globalization, sports have become an important criterion for measuring the development level of a country or a region
Resilience theory has been widely applied in multidisciplinary fields such as social ecology, economics, management, and urban planning, and abundant research results have been achieved in social resilience, regional resilience, and urban resilience (Xu et al, 2017)
The DPSIR model can show the interaction between humans and the environment from the perspective of the system life cycle, reflect the stage characteristics of resilience, and better reflect the timeliness and compatibility of resilience applied to the current regional sports development research
Summary
With the development of economic globalization, sports have become an important criterion for measuring the development level of a country or a region. The DPSIR model can show the interaction between humans and the environment from the perspective of the system life cycle, reflect the stage characteristics of resilience, and better reflect the timeliness and compatibility of resilience applied to the current regional sports development research. This study will select four indexes in terms of economy, population society, and natural environmental pressure, which specify as GDP growth rate, natural population growth rate, Impact Indexes In the development of sports resilience, the internal and external environment will have impacts on the sport system, and in turn, changes in the sports system’s resilience state will have various “impacts” on the surrounding ecological, economic, and social environment. 8 indexes are selected in this study: the number of mobile Internet users, the number of graded athletes in development, the number of reserve sports talents, the number of youth sports clubs, the number of national physical quality monitoring stations, the number of public fit-trail projects, the number of sports research instruments and equipment, and the number of sports research projects
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