Research on the Relationship Between the Energy Resource Endowment and Industrial Structure Based on PVAR Model

Abstract

Through constructing the Panel Vector Autoregressive Model (PVAR Model) of energy self-sufficiency rate and the proportion of the industrial added value in GDP, this article has analyzed the relationship between the industrial structure which expressed in the proportion of the industrial added value accounted for the GDP and energy resource endowment which expressed in energy self-sufficiency rate. According to the analysis results of PVAR Model, this article believes that the relationship between industrial structure and energy resource endowment is stable and notable, but the mutual influences of both parties all have time lag. The growth speed of energy self-sufficiency rate could positively influence on the growth range of the proportion of the industrial added value in GDP. The influence of energy endowment’s impulse on the change of industrial structure would reach a maximum in the fourth year. Industrial structure’s change also positively influence on energy endowment.