Abstract

Abstract Due to the uncertainty of renewable energy and load, probabilistic power flow as an effective method to analyse the probabilistic properties of power systems. In this paper, a linearized ac probabilistic power flow model is established, and Monte Carlo simulation method is used to analyze the probabilistic power flow of the power grid containing wind farms. By connecting wind farm to node 13 of IEEE14-bus system, the voltage accumulative distribution curves of node 4, node 5 and node 13 are obtained. The results show that the random output of wind farm increases the fluctuation of node voltage, and the fluctuation phenomenon of node voltage becomes serious as the distance of the access point of the wind farm approaches. By connecting wind farms at node 4 and node 14, the voltage accumulative distribution curves of access nodes were obtained. Through comparison, it is concluded that the access of wind farm has a small effect on the voltage of PQ nodes close to PV nodes, but has great influence on the voltage of PQ nodes away from PV nodes. By adding wind farms at node 13, the active power cumulative distribution curves of branch 2-5, branch 3-4, branch 5-6 and branch 6-13 were obtained. By comparison, the active power flow of different branches of the system is affected differently after access to the wind farm. The fluctuation of the active power flow of the branch becomes serious with the shortening of the distance from the access point of the wind farm. The simulation analysis can provide more comprehensive and useful information for the planning and operation personnel of power system including wind farm.

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