Abstract
Ports are an important node of a country’s external goods circulation, as well as large consumers of energy consumption. This paper uses the STIRPAT (Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology) model to study the trend of carbon emissions under different scenarios based on the energy consumption data of Chinese ports from 2010 to 2019 and analyzes the possibility of the peak carbon dioxide emission of Chinese ports. The results show that the carbon emissions of Chinese ports have peaked in 2013 under most scenarios, with CO2 emission of 9,213,500 tons and carbon emission intensity of 0.783 tons of CO2/103-tons of throughput. In addition, considering other scenarios, carbon emission action strategies should be formulated according to the differences of carbon emission peaking conditions of specific ports.
Highlights
According to the report released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2014, the global climate problem has become the biggest challenge for the future development of the world, and human activities are the main factor causing the global climate problem
This paper studies the peak carbon emissions of ports in China, including the total of coastal ports and inland ports
The throughput, container throughput, 10,000-ton berth number, and energy consumption intensity in the basic data of influencing factors analysis of carbon emissions of Chinese ports were taken as explanatory variables, and the carbon emissions of Chinese ports were taken as explained variables
Summary
According to the report released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2014, the global climate problem has become the biggest challenge for the future development of the world, and human activities are the main factor causing the global climate problem. Due to the large differences in the social economy development, energy structure, and carbon emission characteristics of regions in China (Liu et al, 2015; Ye et al, 2017), the Chinese government has set the target of differentiated peak emission by region and industry, and the eastern region of China, transportation and other service industries should be the first to peak carbon emission (Chai, 2015). The peak of port industry carbon emissions is very important for the country to achieve as soon as possible. It is of great practical significance to study the future trend of carbon dioxide emissions from Chinese ports and formulate targeted strategies to provide a scientific basis for peaking national overall carbon emissions and a new focus for improving the comprehensive development capacity of ports. Different scenarios are set to predict the future carbon emission trend of Chinese ports; fourth, analyze the trend of carbon emissions from Chinese ports and provide policy suggestions for the green development of Chinese ports
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