Research on the path of energy transformation of resource-based provinces under the goal of “carbon peak and carbon neutrality” — a case study of Shanxi province

Abstract

The growth rate of carbon emissions in resource-based provinces in China is higher than the national average, and the growth of carbon emissions is not isolated from the growth of GDP and energy consumption. Take Shanxi province as an example, this paper comprehensively considers the macro-economic growth, industrial structure adjustment, energy efficiency improvement, electric energy substitution, hydrogen energy development and other factors under the “carbon peak and carbon neutrality” target. And this paper applies the CEMS-4E (China Energy Model System) model system to quantitatively analyse the carbon emissions of resource-based provinces in China and the path of carbon peak energy transformation of resource-based provinces in the future. This paper could provide rationalized suggestions for the development and deployment of a low-carbon economy in China.