Research on the Inversion of Chlorophyll-a Concentration in the Hong Kong Coastal Area Based on Convolutional Neural Networks

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Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration is a key indicator for assessing the eutrophication level in water bodies. However, accurately inverting Chl-a concentrations in optically complex coastal waters presents a significant challenge for traditional models. To address this, we employed Sentinel-2 MSI sensor data and leveraged the power of five machine learning models, including a convolutional neural network (CNN), to enhance the inversion process in the coastal waters near Hong Kong. The CNN model demonstrated superior performance with on-site data validation, outperforming the other four models (R2 = 0.810, RMSE = 1.165 μg/L, MRE = 35.578%). The CNN model was employed to estimate Chl-a concentrations from images captured over the study area in April and October 2022, resulting in the creation of a thematic map illustrating the spatial distribution of Chl-a levels. The map indicated high Chl-a concentrations in the northeast and southwest areas of Hong Kong Island and low Chl-a concentrations in the southeast facing the open sea. Analysis of patch size effects on CNN model accuracy indicated that 7 × 7 and 9 × 9 patches yielded the most optimal results across the tested sizes. Shapley additive explanations were employed to provide post-hoc interpretations for the best-performing CNN model, highlighting that features B6, B12, and B8 were the most important during the inversion process. This study can serve as a reference for developing machine learning models to invert water quality parameters.