Research on the Influencing Factors of The Green Coordinated Development of Productive Service Industry and Manufacturing Industry Under the Background of Dual Carbon

Abstract

Under the dual-carbon background, along with the process of the two-wheel drive development strategy, the industrial synergistic agglomeration has quietly become the "new normal" of urban industrial spatial layout, and the green total factor productivity has become an essential measure of the quality of economic development of cities in China. This project takes the synergistic agglomeration at the factor level between the productive service industry and manufacturing industry as the perspective and analyzes the realization mechanism of green total factor productivity growth under the synergistic agglomeration of the manufacturing industry and productive service industry from the current situation of China's industrial development, which is also a deepening and expanding of the theory of agglomeration economy. This project first discusses the "greening" issue in the development process of the productive service industry and manufacturing industry, and applies the super-efficient DEA model to account for the green total factor productivity of the productive service industry and manufacturing industry according to the difference of industrial characteristics, and then expounds the inner mechanism of green total factor productivity growth under the synergistic agglomeration of industries. Then, the panel data of 24 provinces in China are used to modify the existing indexes for measuring the level of industrial synergistic agglomeration and analyze the impact factors of the synergistic evolution of the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry on the green total factor productivity. Finally, through scenario simulation analysis, different policy scenarios with different policy incentives are set up to study the impact of policy incentives further and propose corresponding policy recommendations.