Abstract
As a representative of green and low-carbon buildings, prefabricated buildings have gained widespread attention from the government and industry due to their significant advantages in energy conservation and emission reduction, time saving, labor saving, and high construction efficiency. However, currently, prefabricated buildings have a low market share in China and their development is slow. This article summarizes the influencing factors of the development of prefabricated buildings and constructs a causal model (FCM model) consisting of five conceptual nodes for inference and simulation analysis. The predictive analysis results show that the correlation strength between the four major influencing factors and the development of prefabricated buildings is: F2(cost environment)> F4(policy system)> F3(technology system)> F1(market foundation). This article proposes reasonable measures and suggestions based on the analysis results, providing reference for promoting the development of prefabricated buildings.
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