Research on the Gas Emission Quantity Prediction Model of Improved Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm and Weighted Least Squares Support Vector Machine (IABC-WLSSVM).

Abstract

In order to further accurately predict gas emission of working face, this paper proposes a prediction model of gas emission of working face based on the combination of improved artificial bee colony algorithm and weighted least squares support vector machine (IABC-WLSSAVM). The research steps are as follows: Firstly, in order to obtain the sparse solution of LSSVM, a more reliable prediction model is realized by weighting the error value. Secondly, the chaotic sequence is introduced into the artificial bee colony algorithm to find a better initial honey source, which increases the diversity of the population, and combines the Levy flight to update the search step to avoid falling into the trap of local optimum. At the same time, the improved artificial bee colony algorithm is used to optimize the kernel width σ and regularization parameter λ of WLSSVM, which improves the prediction accuracy and convergence rate of WLSSVM. Finally, the quantitative analysis model of WLSSVM is reconstructed by using the optimized parameters, and the nine parameters of buried depth of coal seam, gas content of coal seam, coal thickness, interlayer lithology, production rate of working face, length of working face, inclination of coal seam, gas content of adjacent layer, and thickness of adjacent layer are used as the main influencing factors. After normalization, the nonlinear prediction model of gas emission is established. The simulation results based on the three indicators of determination coefficient, root mean square error, and average relative variance show that the IABC-WLSSVM prediction model proposed in this paper can not only overcome the local optimization to obtain the global optimal solution but also has faster convergence speed and higher prediction accuracy. This prediction model has obvious advantages compared with the other three improved prediction models in terms of fitting, accuracy, and generalization ability, which can provide a reliable theoretical basis for the prediction of gas emission in coal mining face under complex factors and propose a new idea for the application of artificial intelligence in the construction of intelligent mines. At the same time, the prediction model can also be applied to other fields.