Research on the Feasibility of Machine Learning Methods in Stock Price Prediction

Abstract

Abstract: Stock price prediction has always been an important topic in financial research. Accurate price prediction can not only help investors make informed investment decisions but also enhance market stability and reduce systemic risk. In recent years, with advancements in computing technology and data science, machine learning methods have been increasingly applied in the financial field. Compared to traditional methods, machine learning methods can better handle high-dimensional, nonlinear, and large datasets, thus demonstrating higher prediction accuracy and applicability in stock price prediction.This paper reviews relevant literature and selects five models for empirical research: Support Vector Machine (SVM), Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM), LightGBM, a combination of LSTM and LightGBM, and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The effectiveness of these models in predicting the stock price of Meituan-W (3690) was analyzed and compared in detail. The experimental results show that the LightGBM model performs best in terms of Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), proving its significant advantages in handling large-scale, high-dimensional, and nonlinear data. By comparing the prediction results of different models, this paper explores the strengths and weaknesses of each model and their feasibility and effectiveness in practical applications. Machine learning methods have significant potential in stock price prediction, model selection needs to comprehensively consider data characteristics, computational resources, and practical application scenarios.