Abstract

To obtain the planning and development status of new distribution networks under the low-carbon and sustainable development goals, research the evolution process of new distribution network forms under the “carbon peak” and “carbon neutrality” goals (dual carbon goals). Firstly, combining the characteristics of high proportion renewable energy, construct a new distribution network morphology evolution system under the “dual carbon target”. Explore the energy pattern and structural form of the current and medium/long-term new distribution network, and obtain the corresponding evolution process. Then, considering the transmission characteristics of the new distribution network under the “dual carbon target”, an evaluation index system is established in three aspects: power supply, distribution, and transmission. And construct an evaluation model for the development form of distribution networks based on SWOT analysis, to evaluate the new development form of distribution networks. Finally, numerical examples were verified and analyzed using MATLAB simulation software. The method proposed in this article not only intuitively describes the evolution process of the new distribution network morphology, but also obtains the evolution of the new distribution network at different time stages under the “dual carbon target”, as well as the evolution results of the distribution network morphology in terms of carbon emissions and cost investment. The final research results of this article can provide theoretical basis for distribution network planning under the “dual carbon goal”.

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