Research on probability integration parameter inversion of mining-induced surface subsidence based on quantum annealing

Abstract

Probability integral method is an official prediction method for mining subsidence in China. However, how to obtain the probability integral method parameters based on the measured data is the premise of realizing the accurate prediction of the probability integral method. Simulated annealing (SA) is an effective nonlinear optimization algorithm that has recently been introduced into the mining subsidence field to obtain the parameters of the probability integration method. To solve the problems of slow convergence speed and easily falling into the local optimal solution in the method of parameters inversion in probability integral method based on SA (MPIPIMSA), the method of parameters inversion in probability integral method based on quantum annealing (MPIPIMQA) is proposed by combining the quantum fluctuation mechanism and simulated annealing theory. The simulation experimental results show that MPIPIMQA is superior to MPIPIMSA in the accuracy and stability of parameters, and MPIPIMQA has a stronger anti-interference ability for local losing observation points, random errors and gross errors in observation data. Finally, the parameters of probability integral method for the 1414(1) working face of the Guqiao Coal Mine in Huainan mining area were obtained by using MPIPIMQA, namely, q = 0.9916, tanβ = 1.9277, b = 0.4190, θ = 84.3381, Su = − 7.3715, Sd = − 14.7126, Sl = 59.0695, and Sr = 32.6381, and the fitting error is 106.8863 mm. The research results have important reference values for accurate inversion of probability integral parameters.