Research on Prediction of Movable Fluid Percentage in Unconventional Reservoir Based on Deep Learning

Abstract

In order to improve the measurement speed and prediction accuracy of unconventional reservoir parameters, the deep neural network (DNN) is used to predict movable fluid percentage of unconventional reservoirs. The Adam optimizer is used in the DNN model to ensure the stability and accuracy of the model in the gradient descent process, and the prediction effect is compared with the back propagation neural network (BPNN), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), and support vector regression model (SVR). During network training, L2 regularization is used to avoid over-fitting and improve the generalization ability of the model. Taking nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) T2 spectrum data of laboratory unconventional core as input features, the influence of model hyperparameters on the prediction accuracy of reservoir movable fluids is also experimentally analyzed. Experimental results show that, compared with BPNN, KNN, and SVR, the deep neural network model has a better prediction effect on movable fluid percentage of unconventional reservoirs; when the model depth is five layers, the prediction accuracy of movable fluid percentage reaches the highest value, the predicted value of the DNN model is in high agreement with the laboratory measured value. Therefore, the movable fluid percentage prediction model of unconventional oil reservoirs based on the deep neural network model can provide certain guidance for the intelligent development of the laboratory’s reservoir parameter measurement.