Research on Prediction and Damage Analysis of Devices of Mass Disruption Based on Optimized Gray Model Algorithm, ARIMA, and Correlation Analysis

Abstract

Atomic deterrence is a significant capability for safeguarding national sovereignty and ensuring national defense. This article mainly uses Statistical Analysis, Grey correlation Analysis, Optimized Gray prediction model, ARIMA, BP neural network regression, and Spearman correlation coefficient method to study the total and changing number of devices of mass disruption, the number of devices of mass disruption in each country, and to find a balance between the number of atomic devices and destruction of the earth. Unfortunately, this paper get the result that the number of countries with atomic devices will be 15 in the next 100 years. It calls on everyone to protect the earth and the environment in which this paper live.