Abstract
In order to achieve the target of that non-fossil energy accounted for 15% in 2020 and 20% in 2030, new energy has developed rapidly in recent years in our country. However, the rapid development of new energy has brought many problems, such as the wind power curtailment, photovoltaic power curtailment, the unbalanced development in different regions and the imperfect policy. Therefore, it is necessary to make a comprehensive evaluation of the development of new energy, as the basis for the policy formulation and planning of new energy. In this paper, according to the characteristics of the new energy development in China, a comprehensive assessment model of new energy development is constructed, a set of assessment index system is proposed, which of the quantitative and qualitative combination, including energy production, energy consumption and policy mechanism from, and combining the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method to determine the weight coefficient. Finally, new energy development in Jiangsu province is taken as an example, the comprehensive evaluation of new energy development situation in 2018 is given.
Highlights
In accordance with the production, consumption, mechanism and science and technology aspects of the "energy production and consumption revolution", given the regional new energy development characteristics in China, the key factors of measurement of new energy development level are selected on the basis of existing new energy development statistical index system
The index of incentive policy is to show the appropriateness of developing the incentive policies like financial subsidy as well as the effectiveness of implementation, which reflect the perfectness of new energy development policies; the index of development planning mainly measures the completion and science of new energy development planning; the index of administrative rules shows the perfectness of relevant administrative documents and regulations on new energy, including the formulation and implementation of administrative rules
The Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and expert comments are adopted to calculate the weights of the first layer assessment indices—energy production, energy consumption and policy mechanism, get the expert's pairwise comparison judgment matrix of index importance, calculate the index weights by AHP, and make reference to the expert comments in the system to optimize and adjust the index weight value so as to finalize the weights
Summary
Figure 1 shows the flow block of comprehensive assessment model of new energy development that mainly includes the four aspects of establishment of assessment index system, assessment of single index, determination of index weight coefficient and comprehensive assessment of new energy development.
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