Research on Multi-scenario Intelligent Forecasting Model of China’s Electric Power Consumption Driven by Policy

Abstract

Electricity is the symbol of modern industrial civilization, the basic input of production and the necessities of people’s life. With the development of economy, the electric power industry plays an increasingly important role in the national economy. Accurate judgment of power demand is the premise of scientific planning, and its basis is a correct understanding of the law of power consumption, as well as a scientific understanding of the inherent relationship between power demand and economic development. Therefore, this paper systematically studies the relevant data of China from 1993 to 2018, carefully analyses the relationship between economic development and power consumption, reveals the basic law of power consumption and economic development, and on this basis, sets up different scenarios around industrial structure and power consumption structure, and makes multi-scenario prediction of China’s electricity demand in the coming 2020, 2030 and 2050 years, with a view to providing China’s electricity demand. Force demand planning and related policy formulation provide some reference.