Abstract
With the rapid development of economy, the power demand becomes more and more. Together with limited coal resources and the environmental pollution problems caused by coal-fired, there is an urgent need for evaluation on the utilization of coal resources and the environmental pollution degree. Under this background, we gave a satisfactory degree standard that a basis for the division of power load data. In order to reflect the recognize effect of the data with different satisfactory degree, we gave a level effect function. Then we establish a level effect-based electrical load forecast model for the synthesize of different results under different satisfactory degree, and gave a concrete forecast result combined with a specific case. Theoretical analysis and case study show that the established model not only has good structural characteristics, but also has a strong realistic meaning. It is beneficial to make a reasonable electrical load plan and control its usage.
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