Research on joint planning method of supply and demand considering users’ comprehensive energy consumption behavior and policy orientation

Abstract

Given the recent escalation of the energy and environmental crises, it is crucial to consider the evolution of various energy systems from a macro perspective in order to increase the overall efficiency of energy use and improve the environment. In order to tackle this issue, a wide-area integrated energy system planning method that takes into account consumers' comprehensive energy consumption behavior (CECB) and policy recommendations is provided in this study. First of all, according to the analysis of users’ CECB, the decision-making model of regional users' energy supply transformation is established. A game model is constructed to explore cooperative planning of an integrated electricity-natural gas energy system based on the profit models of various market participants. The government is considered as the main body of planning and decision-making, and the evaluation model of government’s pollution emissions from both supply and demand sides is established. A two-level dynamic game planning model for the wide-area IES is then created as a result of the examination of the game mechanism between users, the government, the integrated energy system (IES), and other market players. Finally, the model is solved using an iterative search approach. Results from simulations are used to validate the suggested method’s accuracy and efficacy.