Research on Intervention Analysis Model of Medium-to-long-term Electric Power Substitution Policy

Abstract

In order to study the quantitative impact of electric power substitution policy, a medium-to-long-term electric power substitution policy intervention analysis model is established. Based on the time series analysis model and the intervention function, the model considers the persistence of the impact time, and uses the proportion of China’s electric power consumption as an example for quantitative analysis. The results show that the medium-to-long-term electric power substitution policy intervention analysis model can quantitatively measure the impact of electric power substitution policies.