Research on Honeycomb Location and Dissemination Based on Cluster Analysis and Multivariable Probability Prediction

Abstract

Asian giant hornets are extremely toxic and have an aggressive impact on local bee species. If the spread of Asian giant hornet is not predicted as early as possible and appropriate countermeasures are made, it will cause immeasurable losses. We predict the spread of the Asian giant hornet. Considering that the farthest movement axis of the Asian giant hornet is 5 km, it can be set as the constraint condition to achieve hierarchical clustering of the sighting positions. Therefore, based on the assumption that the Asian giant hornets in the same nest are grouped into a cluster, a yearly time-step probabilistic prediction model is built to estimate the possible nest coordinates.