Abstract
In recent years, in order to adapt to the situation of rapid economic and social development, my country’s power supply companies have invested large-scale funds to build distribution networks, and upgraded urban and rural power grids, effectively supporting the rapid growth of power demand and the reliability of power supply. Continuous improvement of power quality. While the scale of investment in the distribution network continues to remain high, problems such as focusing on investment and neglecting revenue, focusing on project establishment and neglecting management also exist to varying degrees. Therefore, reasonably predicting the scale of investment in the distribution network and improving the lean management level of the investment and construction of the distribution network have become key issues that power supply companies need to solve. This paper takes my country’s municipal power supply companies as the research object, combines the actual business development of the company’s distribution network investment planning, and fully considers the impact of the company’s power supply district management and the level of cost differences on the investment scale of the distribution network, and builds a fit on this basis. The distribution network investment planning forecast model of the actual business work of the enterprise guides the municipal power supply enterprises to improve the lean management level of the distribution network investment and construction.
Highlights
With the continuous development of my country's economy and the continuous improvement of power grid construction, distribution network investment and construction are gradually becoming the focus of power supply enterprises
Relevant scholars have done a lot of research on the forecast of power grid investment.Literature [1] first analyzed the main influencing factors of power grid company investment, and used the support vector machine model to predict and analyze the investment scale of a certain city power grid company under different boundary conditions, and gave corresponding conclusions and suggestions
Literature [4] took the province A power grid company as an example, and proposed a power grid investment prediction model based on the asset wall theory
Summary
With the continuous development of my country's economy and the continuous improvement of power grid construction, distribution network investment and construction are gradually becoming the focus of power supply enterprises. The current related scholars are more from the perspective of mathematical modeling, by analyzing the main factors that affect grid investment, and constructing different prediction models to predict the scale of grid investment This method does not fully consider the actual business development of power supply companies, and there is a certain lack of support for power supply companies. The investment management authority of distribution network projects has been delegated to the power supply bureaus of prefectures and cities, and there is currently no corresponding prediction method for the effect of investment on the power grid, which cannot support enterprises to scientifically carry out distribution network investment planning. It is necessary to construct a reasonable investment prediction model that meets the actual investment planning business of the enterprise's distribution network investment planning in combination with the management of the distribution network construction of the municipal power supply enterprise
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