Abstract

Development of renewable energy is considered as an effective measure to control greenhouse gas emissions in the world. Policy instrument to promote development of the renewable energy have been paid more and more attention. As the most industrialized and urbanized region, Beijing plays as a demonstration role to show the impact of environmental policy instrument on the development of renewable energy and the mitigation of GHG emissions. In this paper, based on the input-ouput table, we constructed a dynamic input-output model introducing renewable energy industries, as well as the invironmental policy instrument of the emission tax. It not only can explore the relationships among Beijing’s renewable energy, economy and environment, but also can analyze the future trends of the economy and GHG intensity from 2010 to 2025. The objective function is the maximized GRP, subject to greenhouse gases emissions constraint and some subjective functions. The simulation results illustrated that with the GHG emissions constraint as1.5 times of the 2010 level, carbon tax as 80 CNY/t CO2-e is effective to promote the renewable energy development, economic development and GHG emissions mitigation. Annual growth rate of GRP can be up to 6.4%. The economic growth rate increases 0.6% compared with the condition when not introducing the policy instrument. In 2025, the GHG intensity will be 41.8 t CO2-e/million CNY, 41.4% reduced compared with the 2010 level. Total power generation of renewable energy can be 40.9 GWh, contributing to the reduction of 25 million CO2-e emissions in 15 years. This research proves that the proposed environmental policy instrument is effective to realize the government’s targets.

Highlights

  • The share of renewable energy is increasing every year in the global energy consumption (Potočnik, 2007)

  • The economic growth rate increases 0.6% compared with the condition when not introducing the policy instrument

  • 3.3 Economic Development and GHG Intensity in Case 2 As indicated in figure 6, with the greenhouse gas emissions constraint as 1.5 times larger than the 2010 level and the carbon tax as 80 CNY/t CO2-e, annual growth rate of GRP can be up to 6.4%

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Summary

Introduction

The share of renewable energy is increasing every year in the global energy consumption (Potočnik, 2007). In China, around 18% of the country’s population lived in the top 35 large cities and the share of these cities was around 40% in the energy utilization and CO2 emission of China in 2006 (Dhakal, 2009) They shall play crucial roles in determining the future path of energy consumption and carbon emissions in China that meets the international commitment of reduction in GHG emissions made by the Central Government. It is urgent to increase the share of renewable energy by reducing the consumption of fossil-oriented energy sources in the electricity and heating industry in order to decrease CO2 emission. We constructed an extended input-output model into which renewable energy industries and the economic policy instrument of the emission tax are introduced, so as to analyze the effects of the environmental tax on reducing CO2 emission and promoting www.ccsenet.org/jsd

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