Research on Electric Power with Development and Application of Line Loss Rate Forecasting Software Based on MLRM-GM

Abstract

A hybrid model is proposed which is a combination of MLRM (Multiple Linear Regression Model) and GM (Gray Prediction Model). The paper conducts a line loss rate forecast of the grid, and develops a kind of forecasting software for the line loss managers of grid enterprises to realize the analysis and forecast of factors which impact the daily loss line rate. Finally, do simulation examples with line loss rate data of a city using the software. The results demonstrate that the models selected in the software have good feasibility in line loss rate forecasting, and can overcome the adverse effects of factors on the model, improve the accuracy of prediction and provide the basis for the scientific and reasonable loss reduction plan.