Research on driving proneness in car-following behaviours based on multi-source real driving data

Abstract

There is little research on the degrees of drivers’ short-term behaviours regarding driving safety. To solve this problem, this paper investigated the concept of driving proneness and evaluated the propensities of different drivers to engage in different operations for the following scenarios of urban traffic. From the real driving data of sixteen drivers on a city road, car-following data fragments were extracted and six key parameters were obtained: throttle percentage, change rate of throttle percentage, brake pressure, change rate of brake pressure, absolute value of steering angle and absolute value of steering angle speed. Symbolic Aggregate Approximation was used to reduce the dimensionality of the parameters. The input of the Hidden Markov Model-Viterbi was obtained by the use of statistical methods. The output of the model is the probability of the three proneness states of introversion, neutrality and extroversion, from which the proneness value of each driver was calculated. The weighted proneness value of each driver was obtained by the use of the entropy weight method to assign weights to each parameter. The operating characteristics of the drivers were also analysed and described. The method presented in this paper can provide accurate and real-time warning in network-driven environments.