Abstract
Currently, lightning is the main cause of power system faults. Due to insufficient equipment and technology, low insulation level, the distribution network being the main part of power outages, and the complex causes of distribution network faults, it is difficult to determine whether each fault in the distribution network is caused by lightning strikes. In this paper, the concept of lightning strike confidence, i.e., the possibility of a line lightning strike fault caused by falling lightning, is proposed, and a lightning strike confidence analysis is performed for a 10 kV distribution line in the mountainous region of South China to determine the possibility of a line lightning strike fault caused by falling lightning based on the lightning locating system data of the distribution line at the moment of the fault. First, the calculation method of the lightning strike confidence is derived; then the distribution law of the distribution line lightning strike confidence, the influence of the ground tilt direction, and ground tilt angle on the distribution line lightning strike confidence are analyzed; finally, the distribution line lightning strike confidence is analyzed by an example.
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