Research on Carbon Emission Quota of Railway in China from the Perspective of Equity and Efficiency

Abstract

Under the constraint of total carbon emissions, the allocation of carbon emission quotas of 18 railway bureaus in China is conducted to the realization of carbon emission reduction targets of China’s railway transportation industry. This paper proposes a carbon emission quota model for China’s railway industry from the perspective of equity and efficiency and innovatively undertakes research on the allocation of carbon emission quotas for railway administrations. This paper constructs an econometric model to analyze the impact of various influencing factors on China’s railway operation carbon emission and predicts the total carbon emission of China’s railway operation from 2021 to 2030 by scenario analysis method. From the perspective of equity and efficiency, apply the entropy method to give weight to historical responsibility, egalitarianism, and efficiency principle to obtain the initial allocation value of the carbon emission quota of the operator’s 18 regional railway bureau groups; the ZSG-DEA model is used to obtain the optimal allocation. The results show that railway passenger turnover, freight turnover, vehicle structure, and per capita GDP have a promoting effect on railway carbon emission, and the proportion of clean energy has an inhibitory effect on carbon emission. There is a gap between the distribution results under the single principle and the comprehensive distribution results; the combination of both can more effectively promote the development of the railway industry. From the perspective of equity and efficiency, the carbon emission quota of 18 railway bureau groups in China is high in the east and low in the west. Among them, the Shanghai railway bureau obtains the most carbon emission quota, while the Qinghai–Tibet railway bureau obtains the least carbon emission quota. The research results provide a reference for the railway bureau to coordinate emission reduction and the construction of the railway transport carbon emission market.