Abstract

ABSTRACT Generally, the carbon emissions of road transportation have substantial negative effects on biological ecosystem and sustainable development. Thus, to achieve the strategy of peaking carbon emissions before 2030, research on measuring vehicle emissions in large metropolitan road networks is indispensable. With that in mind, a carbon emission macroscopic fundamental diagram model (CE-MFD) is presented to assess network-wide road emissions, and an indicator, carbon emission intensity (CEI), is quantified to capture the influence of traffic dynamics on emissions. Further, the results of CE-MFD show a positive correlation between road congestion and emissions. Based on the CEI indicator, the corresponding network-wide traffic controls are proposed for effectively reducing the emissions. In addition, the effects of electric vehicle (EV) penetration are explored. This study suggests that by 2030, even if the traffic becomes more congested, the CE-MFD of the urban expressway network will reach a peak with an EV penetration of 73%.

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