Abstract

Forestry production efficiency is an important issue in the development forestry economics. Measuring and analysing the efficiency of forestry production scientifically, which reflect truly the actual situation of forestry production efficiency to provide a scientific basis for improving forestry production efficiency. This paper forecasted and evaluated bamboo production efficiency using the three-stage Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model. The dataset adopted in the study was first hand data, collected based on 110 surveys from 6 administrative villages in Anji County in Zhejiang Province. The results showed:Among the environment variables, significant negative effects were found for factors such as the years of education for the householder, income ratio for bamboo production compare to total income, the number of family members engaged in the production of bamboo, the total size of land for bamboo production; while the following elements showed significant positive effects for bamboo production:age of household head, involvement in technical training in bamboo production, and certificate of forestland. After excluding the impact of environmental effects and random errors, this studies found that the sample household bamboo production average technical efficiency value showed a significant decreased, from 0.537 to 0.436, while the average pure technical efficiency value from 0.602 to 0.803, and the average scale efficiency value decreased from 0.891 to 0.556. At the same time, increasing return to scale was witnessed for bamboo production. Based on the above analysis, suggestions, such as reduce the fragmentation of bamboo forestland, guide farmers to allocate bamboo production factors rationally, clarify the property rights of bamboo forestland, strengthen technical training for farmers' bamboo production, are put forward.

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