Abstract
A feature of financial management is the uncertainty of the time of the onset of a planned event, referred to the future. Financial management (a widely understood monetary policy) is probabilistic. Information and analytical support for hedging proceeds from the requirements of technical and fundamental analysis, based on a series of archival data. A relatively new component of this system is the widespread practice of consensus forecasting of such key indicators as profitability of securities, exchange rates, money in circulation (M0), and central bank refinancing rates. This article describes the results of a study of leading indicator models specifically designed for the financial sector and financial market, taking into account the expectations of professional market participants.
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