Abstract

A wealth of interventions have been devised to reduce belief in fake news or the tendency to share such news. By contrast, interventions aimed at increasing trust in reliable news sources have received less attention. In this article we show that, given the very limited prevalence of misinformation (including fake news), interventions aimed at reducing acceptance or spread of such news are bound to have very small effects on the overall quality of the information environment, especially compared to interventions aimed at increasing trust in reliable news sources. To make this argument, we simulate the effect that such interventions have on a global information score, which increases when people accept reliable information and decreases when people accept misinformation.

Highlights

  • Simulations show that, given that most of the news consumed by the public comes from reliable sources, small increases in acceptance of reliable information (e.g., 1%) improve the global information score more than bringing acceptance of misinformation to 0%

  • Participants are approximately as likely to accept a piece of fake news as they are to reject a piece of true news (Altay et al, 2021a; Pennycook et al, 2020; Pennycook & Rand, 2021), suggesting that the acceptance of fake news and the rejection of true news are issues of similar amplitude

  • Studies concur that the base rate of online misinformation consumption in the United States and Europe is very low (~5%)

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Summary

Introduction

Simulations show that, given that most of the news consumed by the public comes from reliable sources, small increases in acceptance of reliable information (e.g., 1%) improve the global information score more than bringing acceptance of misinformation to 0%.

Results
Conclusion
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