Abstract
The article deals with the problem of assessing the deviations of the meteorological characteristics of the heating season. The usual method of calculating the relative deviations of indicators from the arithmetic mean is not suitable. A requirement is imposed on the “new” averages and estimates of deviations of meteorological characteristics, which follows from their properties: the duration multiplied by the average daily temperature difference for the heating period should be equal to the integral temperature difference. The application of this property to the means and to the very estimates of the deviations of meteorological characteristics makes it difficult to determine the latter. A method is being developed to determine the intensities of fluctuations in the meteorological characteristics of the heating season. Intensities show how much, on average, the duration, average daily and integral temperature differences for the heating period can deviate from the average expected level. A technique is being developed for reflecting synchronous and asynchronous fluctuations in deviations of meteorological characteristics, and the contributions of these fluctuations are determined.
Highlights
Due to the long heating period and low winter temperatures, the study of climatic parameters of the heating period is of greater importance for Russia
Geometric averages are not the only method for averaging the values of climatic characteristics, the use of which ensures the equality of the multiplications of the average and relative deviations of the duration and the average daily temperature difference for the heating period to the corresponding indicators of the integral temperature difference
A method has been developed to determine the intensities of fluctuations in the meteorological characteristics of the heating season
Summary
Due to the long heating period and low winter temperatures, the study of climatic parameters of the heating period is of greater importance for Russia. Geometric averages are not the only method for averaging the values of climatic characteristics, the use of which ensures the equality of the multiplications of the average and relative deviations of the duration and the average daily temperature difference for the heating period to the corresponding indicators of the integral temperature difference. Calculate the intensities of synchronous (IlS, InS) and asynchronous (IlA, InA) fluctuations in the duration and average daily temperature difference for the heating period based on these sets KLS, KNS, KLA, KNA. ΔnA =ln InA / ln In. Determine the contributions of synchronous δLS, δNS and asynchronous δLA, δNA fluctuations in the duration and average daily temperature difference in the intensity of fluctuations in the integral temperature difference: δLS =ln ILS / ln Ib,. By combining the contributions of synchronous and asynchronous oscillations in the deviations of the integral temperature difference, it is possible to estimate the total contributions of the duration and the average daily temperature difference, the contributions of synchronous and asynchronous oscillations to the intensity of the oscillations of the integral temperature difference
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
