Abstract
The changes after Lithuania joined the EU and customs union are analyzed here. For the transport flows forecast and the analysis of traffic at the border theories of multidimensional regression, correlation analysis and wholesale service flows are applied here, the statistical data is processed. According to these mathematical theories and methods a transport flow which will cross the outer border of the EU is forecasted. The method how to predict the amount of transport at a certain border is shown here. The research is performed to find out which custom links have problems. Conclusions and few suggestions how to quicken road traffic flows through Lithuanian customs are also presented in this work.
Highlights
New manufacturing and transport technologies request goods to be delivered to a receiver exactly, when it is necessary, so customs procedures have to be performed as fast as possible without disturbing flush movement of goods, and not declining the effectiveness of customs control
By applying the methods of regressive and correlation analysis used for forecasting of transport activities, we find the dependence/subjection y = f (x)
Having applied the methods of the regressive and correlation analysis used for forecasting of transport activities, we find the dependence y = f (x)
Summary
New manufacturing and transport technologies request goods to be delivered to a receiver exactly, when it is necessary, so customs procedures have to be performed as fast as possible without disturbing flush movement of goods, and not declining the effectiveness of customs control. Using regressive and correlative analysis methods we will try to prove that the amount of vehicles on roads crossing the external border of the EU will increase in the future. Using regressive and correlative analysis methods the prognosis about transport floods crossing the external EU border are proposed.
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