Abstract

PurposeMulti-gene signatures provide biological insight and risk stratification in breast cancer. Intrinsic molecular subtypes defined by mRNA expression of 50 genes (PAM50) are prognostic in hormone-receptor positive postmenopausal breast cancer. Yet, for 25–40% in the PAM50 intermediate risk group, long-term risk remains uncertain. Our study aimed to (i) test the long-term prognostic value of the PAM50 signature in pre- and post-menopausal breast cancer; (ii) investigate if the PAM50 model could be improved by addition of other mRNAs implicated in oncogenesis.MethodsWe used archived FFPE samples from 1723 breast cancer survivors; high quality reads were obtained on 1253 samples. Transcript expression was quantified using a custom codeset with probes for > 100 targets. Cox models assessed gene signatures for breast cancer relapse and survival.ResultsOver 15 + years of follow-up, PAM50 subtypes were (P < 0.01) associated with breast cancer outcomes after accounting for tumor stage, grade and age at diagnosis. Results did not differ by menopausal status at diagnosis. Women with Luminal B (versus Luminal A) subtype had a > 60% higher hazard. Addition of a 13-gene hypoxia signature improved prognostication with > 40% higher hazard in the highest vs lowest hypoxia tertiles.ConclusionsPAM50 intrinsic subtypes were independently prognostic for long-term breast cancer survival, irrespective of menopausal status. Addition of hypoxia signatures improved risk prediction. If replicated, incorporating the 13-gene hypoxia signature into the existing PAM50 risk assessment tool, may refine risk stratification and further clarify treatment for breast cancer.

Highlights

  • Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease with large variations in relapse rates even among patients with similar clinical profiles

  • The focus in the current work was to examine mRNA expression and breast cancer outcomes, and as a first step we investigated the original research-use PAM50 signature which classified tumors into five distinct subtypes: Luminal A, Luminal B, Basal, Her2-enriched, and normal-like [10]

  • Formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue samples from the primary tumor were available for 60% (n = 1723) of the Women’s Healthy Eating and Living (WHEL) cohort

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Summary

Introduction

Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease with large variations in relapse rates even among patients with similar clinical profiles. More information is needed regarding how these tests perform in well-characterized cohorts of breast cancer patients with long-term follow-up [8]. The breast cancer intrinsic molecular subtypes, defined by mRNA expression of 50 genes (PAM50), have been shown to improve prognostication significantly compared to standard tumor characteristics and other genomic signatures [3, 9,10,11,12,13,14,15]. The related proprietary Prosigna gene signature, FDA-approved in 2013, was validated to estimate relapse risk in postmenopausal women with early stage, hormonereceptor positive breast tumors, but has not been validated in pre-menopausal women [16]. For the researchbased PAM50 signature and the Prosigna test [16, 17], an estimated 25–40% of patients are characterized as having “intermediate risk,” and for these patients, the long-term risk of relapse remains uncertain

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