Abstract

Reliable modeling of carbon and water fluxes is essential for understanding the terrestrial carbon and water cycles and informing policy strategies aimed at constraining carbon emissions and improving water use efficiency. We used an assimilation framework (LPJ-Vegetation and soil moisture Joint Assimilation, or LPJ-VSJA) to improve gross primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) estimates globally. The terrestrial biosphere model that we used is the integrated model – LPJ-PM coupled from the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (LPJ-DGVM) and a hydrology module (i.e., the updated Priestley–Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory model, PT-JPLSM). Satellite-based soil moisture products derived from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) and Soil Moisture Active and Passive (SMAP) and leaf area index (LAI) from the global Land and Ground satellite (GLASS) product were assimilated into LPJ-PM to improve GPP and ET simulations using a Proper Orthogonal Decomposition-based ensemble four-dimensional variational assimilation method (PODEn4DVar). The joint assimilation framework LPJ-VSJA achieved the best model performance (with an R2 of 0.91 and 0.81 and an RMSD reduced by 50.4 % and 38.4 % for GPP and ET, respectively, compared with those of LPJ-DGVM at the monthly scale). The assimilated GPP and ET demonstrated a better performance in the arid and semiarid regions (GPP: R2 = 0.73, ubRMSD = 1.05 g C m−2 d−1; ET: R2 = 0.73, ubRMSD = 0.61 mm d−1) than in the humid and sub-dry humid regions (GPP: R2 = 0.61, ubRMSD = 1.23 g C m−2 d−1; ET: R2 = 0.66; ubRMSD = 0.67 mm d−1). The ET simulated by LPJ-PM that assimilated SMAP or SMOS had a slight difference, and the ET that assimilated SMAP soil moisture data was more improved than that assimilated SMOS data. Our global simulation modeled by LPJ-VSJA was compared with several global GPP and ET products (e.g., GLASS GPP, GOSIF GPP, GLDAS ET, GLEAM ET) using the triple collocation (TC) method. Our products, especially ET, exhibited advantages in the overall error distribution (estimated error (μ): 3.4 mm month−1; estimated standard deviation of μ: 1.91 mm month−1). Our research showed that the assimilation of multiple datasets could reduce model uncertainties, while the model performance differed across regions and plant functional types. Our assimilation framework (LPJ-VSJA) can improve the model simulation performance of daily GPP and ET globally, especially in water-limited regions.

Highlights

  • Gross primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) are essential components of the carbon and water cycles, respectively

  • The leaf area index (LAI) assimilation improved the simulations at most sites (R2 value increased at 82 sites), for sites in the U.S and Europe (Figure 2)

  • In the GPP assimilation experiment, the performance of the LAI assimilation was better than that of the SSM assimilation possibly for two reasons: (1) the LPJ-VSJA is more controlled by LAI data because the ratio of assimilated LAI to SM observations (3-day interval input) is approximately 3:1, which makes the likelihood function biased to LAI data; (2) the SM directly influences the simulation of ET, and the corresponding time function (computes the top layer SM (50 cm)) used here will result in the error of the updated top SM and propagating the error to the GPPSM

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Summary

Introduction

Gross primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) are essential components of the carbon and water cycles, respectively. Carbon and water fluxes are inherently coupled on multiple spatial and temporal scales (Law et al 2002; Sun et al 2019; Waring and Running 2010). Land surface models (LSMs) are the most sophisticated approach for providing a relatively detailed description of such interdependent relationships regarding water and carbon fluxes and understanding the response of terrestrial ecosystems to changes in atmospheric CO2 and climate (Kaminski et al 2017). There are still large uncertainties in carbon and water flux estimates at regional to global scales. Both diagnostic and prognostic models show substantial differences in the magnitude and spatiotemporal patterns of GPP and ET. The global annual GPP estimates exhibited a large range (130–169 Pg C yr-1) among

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