Abstract

Despite many existing approaches, modeling karst water resources remains challenging and often requires solid system knowledge. Artificial Neural Network approaches offer a convenient solution by establishing a simple input-output relationship on their own. However, in this context, temporal and especially spatial data availability is often an important constraint, as usually no or few climate stations within a karst spring catchment are available. Hence spatial coverage is often unsatisfying and can introduce severe uncertainties. To avoid these problems, we use 2D-Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to directly process gridded meteorological data followed by a 1D-CNN to perform karst spring discharge simulation. We investigate three karst spring catchments in the Alpine and Mediterranean region with different meteorologic-hydrological characteristics and hydrodynamic system properties. We compare our 2D-models both to existing modeling studies in these regions and to 1D-models, which use climate station data, as it is common practice. Our results show that our models are excellently suited to model karst spring discharge and rival the simulation results of existing approaches in the respective areas. The 2D-models learn relevant parts of the input data and by performing a spatial input sensitivity analysis we can further show their potential for karst catchment localization and delineation.

Highlights

  • 15 Karst aquifers and karst springs are crucial for freshwater supply in many regions and 9% of the global population partly or fully rely on karst water resources (Stevanovic, 2019)

  • From experience (Chen 260 et al, 2017b) we know the high relevance of snow in this area and by coupling the Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) model with a snow routine data preprocessing, we are able to further improve the model performance (Fig. 3b)

  • Despite our model shows a slightly lower Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) value compared to these three models, it is in the same order of magnitude and performs probably at least as none of the previous studies covered a complete annual cycle as contiguous test period, including high peaks in late winter and strong snowmelt influence in spring and early summer

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Summary

Introduction

15 Karst aquifers and karst springs are crucial for freshwater supply in many regions and 9% of the global population partly or fully rely on karst water resources (Stevanovic, 2019). Karst systems in general are characterized by high heterogeneity due to the at least in large parts unknown conduit network, which controls the highly variable groundwater flow. This makes modeling difficult, a large variety of different approaches exists (Jeannin et al, 2021). Most of them require a certain level of background knowledge about the system in order to achieve high quality results. Discussion started: 11 August 2021 c Author(s) 2021.

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