Abstract
Spatiotemporally comprehensive stream temperature datasets are rare because interest in these data is relatively recent and there is little money to support instrumentation at regional or national scales. This lack of data has been recognized as a major limitation for understanding thermal regimes of riverine ecosystems. To overcome these barriers, we first aggregated one of the largest stream temperature databases on record with data from 1700 individual stations over nine years from 2009–2017 (n = 45,000,000 hourly measurements) across France (area = 552,000 km2). For each station, we calculated a simple, ecologically relevant metric–the thermal peak–that captures the magnitude of summer thermal extremes. We then used three statistical models to extrapolate the thermal peak to nearly every stream reach in France and Corsica (n = 105,800) and compared relative model performances among each other and with an air temperature proxy. In general, the hottest thermal peaks were found along major rivers, whereas the coldest thermal peaks were found along small rivers with forested riparian zones, strong groundwater inputs, and which were located in mountainous regions. Several key predictors of the thermal peak emerged, including drainage area, mean summer air temperature, minimum monthly specific discharge, and vegetation cover in the riparian zone. Despite differing predictor importance across model structures, we observed strong concordance among models in their spatial distributions of the thermal peak, suggesting its robustness as a useful metric at the subcontinental scale. However, air temperature was a poor proxy for the stream temperature thermal peak across nearly all stations and reaches, highlighting the growing need to measure and account for stream temperature in regional ecological studies.
Highlights
Comprehensive stream temperature datasets are rare because interest in these data is relatively recent and there is little money to support instrumentation at regional or national scales
The hottest thermal peaks were found along major rivers, whereas the coldest thermal peaks were found along small rivers with forested riparian zones, strong groundwater inputs, and which were located in mountainous regions
Improvement in absolute bias of thermal peaks across all reference sites (Tp,ref; n=30) when introduced annual gaps were filled with the climate correction procedure (|Tp,fill–Tp,ref|, red boxplots) compared to when gaps were unfilled (|Tp,gap–Tp,ref|, blue boxplots) regardless of the number of introduced gaps. 3.2 Model cross-validation In cross validation, all four statistical models performed substantially better than air temperature at accurately
Summary
25 Stream temperature is a master variable affecting ecosystem processes in lotic systems. It controls the solubility of gases and related biogeochemical reactions, regulates metabolism (Wolter, 2007), nutrient cycling (Malard et al, 2002), and decomposition rates, and dictates animal ingestion and digestion rates (Elliott, 1976), reproduction cycles (Daufresne et al, 2004), and mobility (Ojanguren and Brañta, 2000). Stream temperature can be a source of stress and mortality for aquatic organisms, especially when coupled to additional stressors like low water 30 levels (Miller et al, 2007). Climate change threatens freshwater ecosystems through multiple pathways, but rising stream temperatures and reduced flows and levels may be most common and deleterious for aquatic organisms.
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