Remote monitoring of total dissolved phosphorus in eutrophic Lake Taihu based on a novel algorithm: Implications for contributing factors and lake management

Abstract

Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of total dissolved phosphorus concentration (CTDP) and its regulatory factors is essential to improving our understanding of its impact on inland water eutrophication, but few studies have assessed this in eutrophic inland lakes due to a lack of suitable bio-optical algorithms allowing the use of remote sensing data. We developed a novel semi-analytical algorithm for this purpose and tested it in the eutrophic Lake Taihu, China. Our algorithm produced robust results with a mean absolute square percentage error of 29.65% and root mean square error of 9.54 μg/L. Meanwhile, the new algorithm demonstrates good portability to other waters with different optical properties and could be applied to various image data, including Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Medium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MERIS), and Ocean and Land Color Instrument (OLCI). Further analysis based on Geostationary Ocean Color Imager observations from 2011 to 2020 revealed a significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity of CTDP in Lake Taihu. Correlation analysis of the long-term trend between CTDP and driving factors demonstrated that air temperature is the dominant regulating factor in variations of CTDP. This study provides a novel algorithm allowing remote-sensing monitoring of CTDP in eutrophic lakes and can lead to new insights into the role of dissolved phosphorus in water eutrophication.