Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Simplified Electrochemical Model and TSO-TCN

Abstract

Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion battery is critical in practical applications, but is challenging due to the presence of multiple aging pathways and nonlinear degradation mechanisms. In this paper, a method for RUL prediction is proposed combined with battery capacity aging mechanism based on transient search optimization (TSO)-temporal convolutional network (TCN) algorithm. First, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to derive three health indicators directly related to capacity loss from a simplified electrochemical model. Then, the TCN parameters are optimized with transient search algorithm to obtain the optimal prediction model. Finally, the RUL prediction are compared with other typical algorithms, and the results show that the proposed method can accurately predict the RUL of lithium-ion battery, and the life prediction error is within 10 cycles. Compared to TCN, the prediction results remain accurate even with less training data, and the error metrics are reduced by about 50% with the maximum error only 7 cycles from the 250th charge/discharge cycle.