Abstract

A common method based on variational modal decomposition (VMD) and an integrated depth model is proposed to address the problem that it is difficult to precisely anticipate the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). Initially, VMD is employed to decompose the LIBs capacity data in multiple scales to obtain the signal's global degradation tendency and local random fluctuation components. Then, the global degradation trend and each fluctuation component are modeled using an echo state network (ESN) and a Bayesian optimized long short-term memory (LSTM) network, respectively. The final LIBs RUL prediction results are obtained by integrating the prediction outcomes. On three public LIBs datasets with distinct degradation characteristics, the performance of the proposed model is tested, and alternative prediction algorithms are compared. The results of the experiments show that the proposed model's maximum average absolute percentage error does not exceed 0.43%. The average relative error not more than 0.5%, indicating great accuracy and stability in prediction.

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