Remaining Useful Life prediction based on physics-informed data augmentation

Abstract

Current approaches for monitoring machine health (SOH) and effective prognostics depend on the extensive use of complete degradation data trajectories, implying the reliance on data generation techniques that involve functional degradation of the real system until the failure state is reached. These commonly adopted approaches that depend on labeled target data remain operationally and economically nonviable for most industries and safety critical systems. This paper presents novel approaches that alleviate the existing dependence of most prognostics procedures on Remaining Useful Life (RUL) labeled data for training. To this end, firstly, a hybrid data augmentation procedure is proposed that enables the integration of system knowledge available a priori as well as physics of failure, within the training data. Secondly, an unsupervised Health Index (HI) extraction approach is developed, followed by a long-term prediction of this same HI, that leads to an efficient prediction of RUL without labeled data. Finally, a reliability-based assessment is performed to validate the proposed approach. This comprehensive approach (i.e. integrating all the various stages involved in achieving a RUL prediction based on unlabeled data) is tested on a real industrial aircraft system demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed approach in real industrial context.