Abstract

The role of religion in explaining fertility differences is often overlooked in demographic studies, particularly in Western Europe, where there has been a substantial decline in institutional forms of religious adherence. The current study explores the changing relationships between religion and childbearing in Britain, France and the Netherlands. Using data from the Generations and Gender Programme and the British Household Panel Survey, religious differences in completed fertility and the transition to first birth are explored across cohorts of women. In addition, a longitudinal analysis is employed to examine the influence of religion on subsequent childbearing. Although the secularization paradigm assumes that the influence of religion on individual behavior will diminish over time, it is found that religious affiliation and practice continue to be important determinants of fertility and family formation patterns. However, there is some variation in the relationship between religion and fertility across countries; while in France and the Netherlands fertility gaps by religiosity are either consistent or increasing, in Britain, this gap appears to have narrowed over time. These findings suggest that fertility differences by religion also depend on the particular social context of religious institutions in each country.

Highlights

  • Throughout the past decades, most developed countries have experienced substantial transformations in fertility and family formation patterns

  • This may indicate a strong attachment to Catholic cultural identity, which is associated with national French identity (Byrnes 2005; Hervieu-Leger 1990, 2000; Pace 2007), this proportion may be exaggerated as a result of the particular phrasing of the question on religious affiliation

  • This study examined the changing relationship between religion and fertility in three countries that are considered to be highly secularized

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Summary

Introduction

Throughout the past decades, most developed countries have experienced substantial transformations in fertility and family formation patterns. Recent data indicate that the low rates of church attendance among French Catholics have reached a plateau and remained stable over the past decade (Pew Research Center 2013) Compared with those identified as Christians, religious participation among members of other religions (most of whom are Muslims) is expected to be higher, since this group includes a larger proportion of immigrants from highly religious countries (Kaufmann et al 2012). Compared with practicing religious people, nominally religious individuals are less likely to consider religion as an important source of guidance in everyday lives (Day 2011; Voas 2009) Under these circumstances, as the proportion of regular church attendance is shrinking from one generation to another, we may expect this group to show increasingly distinct patterns of fertility and family formation, as they are more likely to continue adhering to traditional religious doctrines that highlight the value of family and children, alongside the fulfillment of traditional family roles (Adsera 2006a, b; Goldscheider and Mosher 1991). The following section provides a description of the data sources and methodology that are used to examine these propositions

Data and Samples
Religion
Education
Nativity
Analytical Strategy
Trends in Religious Affiliation and Practice
Fertility Trends by Religiosity
Multivariate Regression Analysis
Event History Analysis of the Transition to First Birth
Religiosity as a Determinant of Progression to Higher Parity
Summary and Discussion
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