Reliability-Based Bayesian Updating Using Visual Inspections of Existing Bridges

Abstract

AbstractStructural reliability has become a widely accepted performance indicator for infrastructures over the past decade, providing valuable information about their structural condition. As a result, it has been assessed in combination with deterioration prediction, aiming at defining optimal maintenance, and rehabilitation strategies for bridge networks. In that case, reliability values need to be updated based on collected data. To this purpose, there has been a rapid development of advanced bridge condition assessment techniques, both in the fields of structural health monitoring as well as on non-destructive assessment techniques. Most of the sophisticated non-destructive methods are the preferred option but sometimes are not possible. Thus, visual inspection is still the predominant bridge condition assessment technique being adopted within the majority of Bridge Management Systems (BMS). However, there is a procedural gap when incorporating information obtained from visual inspections into a reliability assessment. Therefore, this paper describes a methodology for a time-dependent reliability-based condition evaluation of existing bridges. The procedure is applied to a pre-stressed reinforced concrete railway bridge located in Portugal, in which prediction of reliability levels are calculated for different periods assuming corrosion initiation, causing a reduction in the cross-section area of the steel reinforcement and residual strength reduction, based on onsite inspection evidence. Finally, the updating is made through a Bayesian approach to compute the posterior bridge reliability based on inspection results. This approach may apply to other types of structures considering information obtained from visual inspection concerning the actual deterioration state in a quantitative way.KeywordsManagement systemsBridge inspectionPredictive modelsChloride-induced corrosionBayesian updatingTime-variant reliability