Abstract

Based on Saddlepoint Approximation method and sensitivity analysis method, reliability sensitivity analysis for differential expansion of steam turbine with random parameters are studied. On the premise of the probability distribution of random parameters, using Saddlepoint Approximation method, probability density function of limit state function of differential expansion of steam turbine is obtained. The result of Saddlepoint Approximation method is very close to the one of Monte-Carlo, and the computing speed is fast. Then, the sensitivity analysis method and probability density function were employed to discuss the variation regularities of reliability sensitivity and the effect of design parameters on reliability of differential expansion of steam turbine is analyzed.

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