Abstract
The analysis shows that the parameters of the air shock wave vary significantly and have a pronounced random nature. In general, in structural analysis, design parameters of the shock wave are random functions or random variables; therefore, the reaction parameters of the system under consideration will also be random. Then, fulfillment of certain conditions (for example, strength) is only possible with a certain probability, and the reliability of the system under consideration can be estimated using methods of building structures reliability, methods of mathematical statistics and probability theory. As a result, a probabilistic model of an air shock wave has been developed and the reliability of a free-standing wall has been estimated for random exposure parameters, as well as for random strength characteristics of materials. Based on the calculation results, it was concluded that the calculation of reliability using methods of mathematical and statistical probability theory makes it possible to bring the strength analysis of building structures closer to actual operating conditions.
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