Abstract

The thermal power units operational reliability is the fundamental guarantee of smooth operation of electricity system. According to the problem of thermal power units operational reliability evaluation, a comprehensive evaluation method is put forward based on grey fuzzy theory. Firstly, this paper establishes an evaluation index system by the analysis of factors affecting the reliability of thermal power units. And then a reliability evaluation model of thermal power units operation is built based on grey fuzzy comprehensive evaluation which combined with the grey cluster theory and the fuzzy algorithm. At last, the numerical example is shown to verify the feasibility of the grey fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.

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