Reliability evaluation of flexible manufacturing systems based on three-layer index system with time-varying weights

Abstract

With the development of industrial manufacturing, flexible manufacturing system provides an effective way to improve the machining quality and efficiency, as well as reduce the manufacturing cost. Fflexible manufacturing system reliability has been one focus of recent studies. But a systematic, effective and executable reliability evaluation method has not yet proposed in existing researches. This work firstly presented a three-layer index system for flexible manufacturing system reliability evaluation, which is composed of the whole layer indexes, subsystem layer indexes and equipment layer indexes determined by system composition and running features analysis. Time-varying weights of each layer are calculated through the modelling of the reliability and reliability importance based on the classical two-state failure hypothesis. Then, considering multi-state failure modes of elements, a fuzzy evaluation model of flexible manufacturing system reliability is established based on fault grading and statistics, considering grade and number distributions of faults within a certain statistical period. Moreover, through a simulation case of a box-parts finishing flexible manufacturing system, the influence of failure rates and service time on the index weights distribution is firstly revealed, which can provide theoretical basis for the improvement of flexible manufacturing system reliability; then the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through the comparison of results obtained by the previous model based on two-state failure and the proposed model based on multi-state failure.