Abstract

This paper introduces the rationale and the fundamental elements and algorithms of a reliability engineering methodology combining analytical and simulation tools, and discusses its application to the design of a large, multi-cell and heterogeneous production system with just-in-time (JIT) deliveries. In order to cope with the inherent complexity of such analysis, a two level hierarchical modeling and evaluation framework was developed. Local models are first obtained from the failure and repair processes of the manufacturing equipment. Then, these models are combined with the failure propagation delays introduced by the work-in-process buffers in order to obtain the system level model. The evaluation algorithm is able to deal with reliability models containing stochastic processes with generalized distributions. This fundamental requirement comes from the fact that repair and failure propagation processes typically present hyper-exponential distributions, e.g., lognormal distributions, that cannot be assessed using the conventional reliability techniques. The second part of the paper addresses several design issues of the production system that directly impact the reliability of the deliveries, and explains how the behavioral and structural characteristics of JIT production systems were explored in order to implement effective evaluation algorithms.

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