Reliability-Based Flood Management in Urban Watersheds Considering Climate Change Impacts

Abstract

AbstractResearch has revealed the impacts of climate change on the hydrologic cycle. These impacts are intensified in the urban water system due to special characteristics of urban watersheds, such as a high percentage of impervious areas and the presence of a microclimate. A slight change in rainfall intensity and duration can cause severe floods, with a significant incremental increase in life and property losses. Therefore, it is a key issue to modify the urban watershed characteristics in a systematic way to deal with these probable changes. In this paper, a multicriteria optimization model is developed to select best management practices (BMPs) for flood management in urban watershed systems. The addressed criteria include maximizing reliability of the drainage system, as well as minimizing flood damages and BMP costs. A new reliability index for dealing with floods is suggested in this study that considers both severity and duration of flooding. The optimization model is solved using a two-stage mul...