Reliability Assessment of Wind Power Converter Considering SCADA Multistate Parameters Prediction Using FP-Growth, WPT, K-Means and LSTM Network

Abstract

In order to cooperate the wind farm operators with grasping the operation status of wind power converter, a novel reliability assessment strategy is proposed based on supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) multistate parameters prediction of permanent magnet synchronous generator (PMSG) wind turbine. The strategy considers “off-line training, on-line matching and assessment”. The operation reliability of wind power converter is obtained via the analysis and weight computing of confidence level, prediction value and actual value of SCADA multistate parameters. In the “off-line training” part, first, the FP-Growth association algorithm is employed to analyze the confidence levels of SCADA variables to the faults of wind power converter. The variables with high confidence level are defined as SCADA multistate parameters. Afterwards, wavelet packet transform (WPT) and K-means algorithm are employed to decompose, reconstruct, normalize and cluster the time series (off-line data) of multistate parameters under normal operation of wind turbine, to improve the generalization capability of long short term memory (LSTM) prediction model. In the part of “on-line matching and assessment”, the actual value time series (on-line data) of multistate parameters are decomposed and reconstructed by WPT. Each normalized sample is matched to the closest cluster centroid, which is generated in the part of “off-line training”. Then the corresponding LSTM model is conducted to predict based on the each sample. The final prediction value is sum of prediction results of entire samples in clusters. Finally, the reliability of wind power converter is assessed by the proposed strategy. The effectiveness of proposed assessment strategy is verified by the experimental results on a PMSG wind power converter.